Story Highlights
• Ilyma leads in the polls
• Registered Securitarians undecided
• Ilyma steals the female vote from Hayes

By Tim Paulleson
CCN Washington Bldg.

Manchester District, New Cyrus (CCN) -- On the eve of the New Cyrus primary for the public election of Chief Executive Officer to the newly reorganized Cyrus Corporation, city councilman Omusar Ilyma has a nine-point lead over coucilwoman Lindsay Hayes in the state, according to a CCN-KYUX poll out Monday.

Ilyma, the first-term councilman from Illinois St. who won last week's Agriculture District caucuses, led the Manhattan District councilwoman 39 percent to 30 percent in a poll conducted Saturday through Sunday evening, a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Securitarian front-runners tied at 33 percent.

Preliminary results from the poll released Sunday night showed Ilyma with a lead of 10 percentage points.

Support for former councilman Edmond Jon, who edged out Hayes for second place in the Agro district, dropped from 20 percent in Saturday's poll to 16 percent.

"The Agro caucus results have convinced growing numbers of Granite Street voters that Ilyma can really go all the way," CCN Polling Director Holly Keats said. "In December, 45 percent thought Hayes had the best chance of beating the JOP nominee. But in Saturday's poll, Hayes and Ilyma were tied on that measure, and now Ilyma has a 42 percent to 31 percent edge over Hayes on electability."

The CCN-KYUX polls "strongly suggests an Ilyma surge in New Cyrus," CCN Senior Political Analyst Shirley Williams said.

So is it all over? Not necessarily, according to Williams.

"The CCN poll shows Ilyma and Hayes nearly tied among registered Securitarians, the only voters who will be allowed to participate in the November elections. Ilyma's lead is coming from independents," he said.

Ilyma's success depends on whether independents turn out in large numbers on Tuesday and register as Securitarians, thus securing their rights to be heard, according to Williams.

Ilyma appears to be pulling even with Hayes among women, a voting bloc that she once dominated in the polls. And when asked which candidate has the best chance of beating the Cyrus executive nominee, likely Securitarian primary voters now choose Ilyma over Hayes 42 percent to 31 percent.

That's a dramatic reversal from the last CCN-KYUX New Cyrus poll taken after Christmas and just before the Agro caucuses, when Hayes beat Ilyma in electability by a two to one margin.

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